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Anil Dilawri

 
Taking Investor Relations to the Next Level

Wait a Minute.....Financial Analysts Don't Do That!

Last Thursday night Microsoft (MSFT) posted impressive Q3 financial results.  This was surprising to a lot of analysts on the Street, many whom have made a living out of vilifying the so called evil empire for years.

But something very strange happened on Friday morning.  Actually, it was more than strange, it was shocking.  An analyst admitted that they were wrong.  WRONG!  Not only did the analyst admit it, he mentioned that he was wrong in the title of his research report.  Brad Reback of CIBC World Markets upgraded MSFT from Sector Underperformer (Sell) to Sector Performer (Hold) on Friday morning.  In the title of his report he said “We were wrong…”.

Good for Brad!  I, for one, have seen many analysts over the years “be wrong”, and in many cases “be very wrong”, and in a few cases “be disgracefully wrong”.  Never have I seen an analyst admit it, say it, and own it.

The inherent nature of financial analysts is to never admit that they have miscalculated, never admit that their thesis turned out to be incorrect, and never use the term “we were wrong” in their research.  Now, don’t get me wrong, I don’t expect analysts to fess up every time they make a bad call.  However, too often we see analysts make the wrong call on a stock and come up with feeble excuses that usually blame something (or someone) other than their analysis.  It was the darn macro-economic environment, management’s tone has changed, industry dynamics have altered, or the dog ate my original thesis and I had to come up with something at the last minute.

So, kudos to Brad.  His trailblazing note probably won’t win him any thumbs-up with buy-side clients, but maybe some will give him credit for telling it like it is.


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Published 03 May 2007 14:27 by Anil Dilawri
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  • walt crawford said:

    Thanks for linking to my post--and this post is incredibly timely. I'm just getting ready to write an essay "On Being Wrong" for my library-related ejournal, Cites & Insights (http://citesandinsights.info/) and you've given me a wonderful example of the virtues of admitting error. And how rare it is for people to get past their ego, reputation, whatever enough to be able to make that admission.

    May 3, 2007 20:54
  • Anil Dilawri said:

    Thanks for dropping by the blog, Walt.  In the investment community, ego almost always wins out over admission of a mistake.  I don't expect that to change anytime soon.  Best of luck with your essay.

    May 3, 2007 21:44

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About Anil Dilawri

Anil is Director of Hill & Knowlton Canada’s Investor Relations group. He provides strategic counsel and leadership to publicly traded companies and/or organizations that are planning an initial public offering. His value is his ability to develop modern day investor relations strategies, policies and procedures to ensure that a company’s investor relations program is effective in meeting the needs of shareholders, prospective shareholders, financial media, company management, and the Board of Directors. Anil has a vast amount of experience in communicating with members of the North American and European investment communities. This community includes sell-side analysts, buy-side shareholders, prospective institutional shareholders, retail shareholders, and financial media. Before joining Hill & Knowlton Anil was the head of investor relations for March Networks Corporation where he was the strategic leader and day-to-day contact for a number of March Networks’ key stakeholders, including financial analysts, shareholders, media, and industry associations. Prior to March Networks Anil was at Cognos Corporation where he held several senior positions in investor relations, product marketing, and research and development.