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Anil Dilawri

 
Taking Investor Relations to the Next Level

To Guide or Not to Guide

Guidance_2

The offering of financial guidance by publicly traded companies has become a hotly debated topic.

Some companies offer quarterly financial guidance on revenue, earnings, and other meaningful financial metrics. Other companies offer no financial guidance at all. Most fall somewhere in between.

So who has it right?

That’s an easy question with no easy answer.

For many companies that do provide financial guidance, be it quarterly figures or annual figures, the pros and cons are evident. The most notable advantage is that guidance gives a group of covering financial analysts and investors some sense of where their respective financial models should be for a given quarter or year. The most notable disadvantage is that the company has publicly stated a goal that it is now obligated to meet (despite what is said in a forward-looking statement or safe harbor disclaimer).

So what is a company to do?  Should they guide or not guide?

The reason why so many companies differ on their opinion is because each company and industry is so different. Some have very steady revenue streams with high quality visibility into the future. Others have lumpy revenue streams and virtually no future visibility. Some have stable expense lines while others need to remain flexible with expenses to capitalize on certain opportunities. Some businesses are quite seasonal, others are not. The list of differences goes on and on.

When Google went public they stated that they would not provide financial guidance because they felt it focused too much on the near-term and, as a company, they were more focused on the long-term. I believe this was code for “given how young this company is and how insane the potential growth opportunities are, we have no idea on the extent to which we will grow, nor do we have a good idea of how much we will need to invest in the near or long term, so we won’t be providing guidance”.

In the end, it really comes down to how comfortable management is with their visibility into future business and how comfortable they are with predicting their company’s success rate going forward.  After all, if offering guidance is too much of a guessing game for management, then are they really doing themselves or shareholders any favors by offering it?


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  • odwyerpr blog said:

    Gore-Tex Plans marcom effort to “stand out” as a brand; tired of being known as material other brands sell. [USA Today] 57% of companies don’t have crisis plans in place?! [SMO blog] ABC offers CMA tickets in exchange for coverage. [Post-Gazette, la

    October 24, 2007 19:29

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About Anil Dilawri

Anil is Director of Hill & Knowlton Canada’s Investor Relations group. He provides strategic counsel and leadership to publicly traded companies and/or organizations that are planning an initial public offering. His value is his ability to develop modern day investor relations strategies, policies and procedures to ensure that a company’s investor relations program is effective in meeting the needs of shareholders, prospective shareholders, financial media, company management, and the Board of Directors. Anil has a vast amount of experience in communicating with members of the North American and European investment communities. This community includes sell-side analysts, buy-side shareholders, prospective institutional shareholders, retail shareholders, and financial media. Before joining Hill & Knowlton Anil was the head of investor relations for March Networks Corporation where he was the strategic leader and day-to-day contact for a number of March Networks’ key stakeholders, including financial analysts, shareholders, media, and industry associations. Prior to March Networks Anil was at Cognos Corporation where he held several senior positions in investor relations, product marketing, and research and development.