Hill+Knowlton Strategies

So, it seems there will be an announcement tomorrow morning on whether the Energy Secretary Chris Huhne will be prosecuted. This bring to an end months of speculation over allegations that Huhne asked his former wife to take speeding points on his behalf.

Nick Clegg has already made it clear that if charged, Huhne will have to step down, prompting speculation on who will replace him on the energy and climate change brief. The quota of Liberal Democrat ministers will of course need to be maintained, narrowing it down somewhat. Junior business minister Ed Davey appears to be the front runner, with junior Foreign Office Minister Jeremy Browne and former Treasury Secretary David Laws also mentioned in passing.

The Coalition Government has been under fire recently for backsliding on environmental policy, with even key initiatives such as the Green Investment Bank, feed-in tariffs and the Green Deal falling victim to a strong Treasury keen to keep public spending to a minimum wherever possible.

Of the three contenders named above, two contributed to the Orange Book of 2004, widely regarded as the manifesto of the right wing of the Liberal Democrats. If tomorrow does mark the end of Chris Huhne’s cabinet career, all eyes will be on his successor for any hint that the ‘greenest government ever’ is not living up to its name…

One area where the Coalition government has stuck to its guns has been the issue of public subsidy for a new-generation of nuclear power stations – there will be no money.

The cost of decommissioning nuclear plants, and disposing of nuclear waste, has become a huge financal millstone around the neck of the government, as Chris Huhne made clear in his speech to the Liberal Democrat conference this year.

The Government’s mantra was continued in the consultation launched this week by DECC. In it, DECC sets out detailed proposals aimed at ensuring that the taxpayer is not on the hook for the cost of decomissioning or waste disposal in the future. In a nutshell, nuclear plant operators will be expected to make sufficient financial provision for decommissioning and disposal of waste from day one.

The question remains whether any potential operator has deep enough pockets to go ahead on this basis or whether, with energy security concerns becoming ever more pressing, the Government will fudge the issue by e.g. setting a minimum price for carbon. DECC is expected to launch a wide-ranging consultation on electricity market reform next week, which is likely to address a floor price for carbon among other issues; the small print will be keenly scrutinised…

‘We are in the game!!!’ roared Simon Hughes, very excitedly, as he tried (perhaps a little too hard) to convince the Lib Dem conference (and the media, no doubt!) that he is, in fact, a ‘rock solid’ supporter of the coalition. It is this sense of being ‘in the game’ after 65 years in opposition that has gone a long way to appease Hughes and many-a-concerned party activist’s worries about the coalition government over the last six months.

Still, with great power inevitably comes great expectation, and with green issues seen as the heartbeat of the party by many, Chris Huhne, the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, addressing conference for the first time in his new role, was always going to be under great scrutiny by the masses In Liverpool this week.

In his speech to conference yesterday, supported by a carefully co-ordinated series of fringe events, Huhne set about outlining the coalition’s plans to tackle what he described as ‘the greatest challenge across Whitehall in peacetime’.

Addressing climate change, he said, is this Government’s most pressing task in the years ahead, while the UK’s overdependence on big oil means future price fluctuations have the capacity to drain billions from the UK economy. The two interrelated threats would be tackled, he said, by the ‘four pillars’ of the coalition’s energy policy:

1. The ‘Green Deal’ will see companies paying to insulate every home in Britain, allowing them to save both energy and money.
2. A ‘third industrial revolution’ of low-carbon renewable growth will wean the UK off fossil fuels and fulfil the country’s need for more electricity going forward (demand for electricity is expected to double by 2050).
3. Nuclear energy, funded entirely by private industry, will give the UK greater energy security.
4. Clean coal and gas will account for renewable energy’s variability and provide the UK with protection from future oil price shocks.

As I wrote yesterday, Huhne had two major challenges as he made his way to Liverpool this week. On the one hand, he needed to simultaneously reassure activists in his own party over their worries about nuclear while appeasing Conservative cabinet colleague’s concerns about the UK’s future energy security. In addition, he, like the rest of the Lib Dem leadership, needed to convince his party that liberalism has not been nullified by conservatism in the coalition.

It was interesting to see how he approached both.

‘A deal is a deal’, he said of nuclear, with a nod and a wink to the Tories during his speech to conference yesterday. Throughout this week, Huhne has spoke off ‘ending the standoff’ on nuclear energy and has insisted that he is ‘entirely comfortable’ with the coalition’s position on the issue. On first glance, it would seem like he has conceded much ground to the Conservatives on the issue, yet, having witnessed his less publicised conversations within small fringe meetings, I’m not sure that all is necessarily what it seems.

Speaking to worried party members in close confines, Huhne has been at pains to point out that £1.7bn of DECC’s £3.2bn annual budget is spent on clearing up after past generations who were lax on attributing responsibility for nuclear decommissioning. This, he says, is damn-right unacceptable. The great worry over nuclear amongst the Lib Dem faithful is that nasty corporate giants will invest in projects in the short term, before swanning off and leaving little old communities and the humble tax payer to pick up the tap for decommissioning. “No hidden subsidies for nuclear!” declared Huhne in his speech to conference yesterday, a pointed hint that he is on top of the issue.

Huhne addressed his second challenge by attempting to give the Lib Dems ownership over green coalition policy, just as Nick Clegg had done with a range of coalition policies in his speech on Monday. By linking energy and climate change policy with wider social issues – such as poverty, unemployment and consumer rights – he was able to relate coalition energy policy to classic Lib Dem values like internationalism, localism, and, most notably, fairness. Discussion of the Green Deal, for example, was hampered with footnotes over how reducing energy waste could help advance society by lifting people out of poverty.

With next year’s local elections approaching fast, Huhne has bolstered Lib Dem party stalwarts green arsenal as they take to the doorsteps, while he has addressed the nuclear issue with enough subtlety and craft to keep a number of competing voices at bay.

Big smiles all round then? Well, yes, but Chris Huhne will know that much more difficult challenges are yet to come. Giving ownership of green issues to a party full of environmentalists was never likely to be an overly hard sell.

Green plans are all well and good, but convincing investors, businesses and consumers to pick up the tab for the transition to a low-carbon economy will be much trickier, especially when the coalition’s spending cuts start to bite.

Departing Liverpool this week, Huhne will have reason to be positive. Equally, he will know that he has hardly scratched the surface of Whitehall’s ‘greatest ever’ peacetime challenge.

As conference season kicks off with the Liberal Democrats in Liverpool, there’s something in particular that I am looking for in the multitude tweets and updates from colleagues and others that are on the sidelines this week. That is the coalition intentions with regards renewable energy subsidies and support.

On Thursday this week the FT tells us that energy minister Chris Huhne will be launching the world’s largest wind farm. The London Array will eventually consist of 341 turbines generating 1,000 megawatts of electricity off the coasts of Kent and Essex in the South East of England, paid for in part by Masdar, the Abu Dhabi government’s initiative to encourage development of green technologies. No doubt the launch will be subject to a fanfare celebrating the UK’s leadership in renewable technologies. However, as Christopher Booker’s editorial in yesterday’s Daily Telegraph suggests there will be many others lamenting the cost that subsidies place upon  energy users at a time that they can least afford it.

The next few quarters will be critical to the success of maintaining existing energy policy. As the spending review is rolled out and cuts begin to bite, taxpayers may well start to question their inflated energy bills, which the DECC expect to increase by 33% by 2020, and their commitment to some of the most ambitious renewable targets in the developed world. Let’s hope for the coalition’s sake that this is not compounded by a harsh winter.