Well, what can we say with any certainty after an extraordinary election night?
The Conservatives, and to a greater extent the Liberal Democrats, have not done as well as expected.
Despite the surge in support following the televised leader debates, the Lib Dems have actually lost ground compared to 2005.
The Conservatives captured some – they did well in Wales – but not all of the marginal seats they needed, and hence have fallen short of the winning post.
Labour have done slightly better than expected – their vote held up in well in London and Scotland – which has contributed to the denial of a majority to the Conservatives.
This is also why we have seen some, but not all of the senior Labour casualties expected.
As for what happens next, even if the Conservatives won all seats left to declare, they will not have a majority, so we definitely have a hung parliament.
According to precedent, Gordon Brown remains Prime Minister while he seeks to form a coalition that will give him a majority.
In the last hour though, Brown’s chances of achieving this have received a major blow, with Nick Clegg repeating his view that the party with most votes and seats – the Conservatives – should seek to form a government. And David Cameron will be making a statement at 2.30 on his plans for a broad-based government that will act in the national interest.
Signs of irresistible momentum? Perhaps, but another thing we can say with certainty is that Gordon Brown should never be ruled out…
Make sure to check back here as this unpredictable election race reaches its climax.