Posts Tagged ‘PIGS’

Euro 2012: Fifa vs. Moody’s

posted by nwoods

It’s 2012, another year in which I can gorge upon a feast of world class sport. The Olympics, the Paralympics, the European Championships and god forbid another failed attempt by Andy Murray to win Wimbledon. The UK may be nearing a ratings agency downgrade but it’s not all bad and a glorious summer awaits.

I wonder what it’s like working in the City when a major sporting event is on. With targets to hit, demanding clients, every pound and every move under scrutiny, I bet they never get chance to scream “REF!!!!” across the trading floor.

Euro 2012 kicks off in 2012 but with ECB research showing inattentive trading during national football matches what impact for the Eurozone? (Image:Euro2012media.com)

Interesting then, that according to the latest bit of research from the European Central Bank, that’s exactly what happens. Its White Paper “The pitch rather than the pit – Investor inattention during FIFA world cup matches” looks at trading data during 2010 World Cup matches and draws some interesting conclusions. My favourite excerpts from the three key findings include:

First, we find strong evidence of decreased activity in stock markets during soccer matches at the 2010 World Cup. Trading activity dropped markedly, especially if the national team was one of the competitors. Compared to normal market circumstances, the median number of trades dropped by 45% if the national team was playing, while the volume dropped by around 55%.”

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FPS’ Friday Fiver

Yes, it’s Friday, and even though the weather’s not looking great, it is at least the weekend. Undertandably this week, most people have had their heads focused on one story in particular. However, there’s also plenty else going on which is why nin this edition of the Financial & Professional Services Fiver we bring you some of the stories you may have missed this week.

Thanks as ever to our contributors – this wek, Jo, Ed and Clare.

To save or spend, that is the question…With retailers going bust on UK High Street, you could be forgiven for thinking that consumers have no money to spend. However, quarter two’s Visa Europe: UK Expenditure Index (our client) paints a more complicated picture of consumers’ expenditure behaviour.

Consumers aren't spending and the high street is in trouble. The reasons why are more complex than you might imagine though (Image: Guardian.co.uk)

The Index shows that year on year consumer expenditure increased by 4.4% in quarter two. The monthly data for April, May and June shows year on year increases in expenditure of 4.2%, 4.5% and 4.3% respectively. However when you look more closely at May’s figures, things start to get interesting: expenditure growth in May was bolstered by consumers saving rather than spending as they put their money into NS&I certificates. The impact of one-off factors were largely diminished in June, which saw a strengthening of underlying spending as consumers cautiously returned to the High Street and ‘usual’ spend.

It seems that consumers are becoming increasingly circumspect about what they do with their money.  The challenge for the High Street is to convince consumers their money is best spent with them rather than saved. This is a battle that may well get bloody…

The Huffington Post launches…Yes, HuffPo, as it is affectionately known Read the rest of this entry »